Numerous strategies are based around a single type of bet for example only bets on Draw, Over/Under or correct score just to name a few. We will explain some a little more detailed.
1. 1. Draw (Football, Hockey):
Most people avoid the bet on a draw as it is probably most boring to watch. They either want to see their team win or have an oppinion towards the favourite or the underdog. But because of that it is usually worth looking at the bet on the draw in detail.
Statistically during the football season 2009/10 at the German Bundesliga 28.1% of all games finished as a draw. The statistic is to be known higher in other major european leagues. If you now consider other indications such as Head to Head, last results and under/over likelyness you can maximise your chances of hitting a draw. The biggest advantage for the bet on the draw are of course the odds of well above 3 which means that 1 correct bet in 3 is sufficient to make you a profit. It is important to play this strategy over a longer period and with similar stakes.
2. Under/Over(Football, Hockey, Basketball...):
You will find there are teams that tend to score more or less goals/points due to their style of play. Very offensive teams usually score more goals upfront but are likely to be open at the back. The opposite applies to very defensive teams. One can also find tendencies in certain competitions like Champions League, Europa League or various national leagues. If you use the under/over strategy you also need to consider stats like the Head to Head, motivation and form. The biggest advantage towards the tradtional 3 way bet (1X2) is that there can only be two outcome (2 way) and the odds are still pretty high. This bet suits people who usually pick the wrong winner :-)
3. Asianhandicap:
Please see the Betting encyclopaedia for a detailed explanation how the Asian handicap bet works. It may look confusing at first, but is definitely worth a careful look due to the following advantages: Asian Handicap reduces the 3 way bet to a 2 way bet. You can basically adjust your own odds to your predicted event outcome. There are a number of strategies which can be played with the Asian Handicap bet.
• Only odds of around 2
• Insure against the possible draw with half winnings or losses • Only high odds on favorites • Outsider bets -> winnings on close defeat of the underdog.
4. Correct score
If you analyze a game purely by statistics you are likely to develop an opinion of the possible result. Playing the correct score bet has the big advantage of massive odds, usually above 7. But as the odds indicate, the chance of predicting the exact score is very small. Statistically last year (2009-2010) the results in the 5 major european leagues looked as follows: 1:1 - 9,4 %, 2:1 - 9,1 %, 1:0 - 9,0 %, 2:0 - 8,9 %, 0:0 - 7,9%, 0:1 - 5,6%, 0:2 - 5,1% and higher results come in under 5%
For a high success rate at the correct score bet you would need to include a few more points in your thoughts.
• chose likely under games (fewer goals mean fewer possible outcome)
• chose 2 teams with fairly similar strength and playing style
• chose certain competitions and leagues, for example Champions League, World Cup or European Championship as teams are following strict tactical rules and goals are less frequent )
5. Double Chance
As previously mentioned 28.1% of all German Bundesliga games during season 2009/10 finished as a draw. Most of these draws will have ruined a lot of winning bets. Thats why the Double Chance is a very popular bet with lots of gamblers. Biggest disadvantage is obviously the smaller odds. But the success rate should improve considerably when covering 2 possible outcome. It doesnt really matter if you go for the underdog or the favorite. Each person has to find what works best for him/her.
Double Chance bets are very good to use for clearing bonuses of bookmakers due to their likelyhood of success.
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